Sea Ice
- About
- Imprint
- Scenarios
- Arctic Marine Transportation by 2030
- Introduction
- Aim of this Study
- Key Factor Classification
- Deļ¬nitions of Key Factors and Future Projections
- 1. Climate
- 2. Legal framework
- 3. Global Trade Dynamics – Global economic growth
- 4. Safety of other Routes
- 5. Socio-economic impact of global climate change
- 6. Oil Price
- 7. Major Arctic Shipping Disasters
- 8. Windows of Operation
- 9. Maritime Insurance Industry
- 10. Collaboration in resource extraction by China, Japan and Russia
- 11. Transit fees
- 12. Conflict between indigenous and commercial use
- 13. Arctic Enforcers
- 14. Energy sources for propulsion
- 15. New resource discovery
- 16. World Trade Patterns
- 17. Regulation in the Arctic
- Consistency matrix
- Scenarios
- Suggest Wild Cards
- Suggest Key Factors
- References
- Glossary
- Yakutat Community Energy Scenarios
- Introduction to Scenario-Management
- The Consistency and Robustness Analysis
- 1. Key Factors and their Future Projections
- 2. Assigning plausibility values to future projections
- 3. Projection Bundles
- 4. Assigning consistency values
- 5. Obtaining overall consistency values for the projection bundles
- 6. The combinatorial problem of the consistency analysis
- 7. The Robustness of a projection bundle
- Disruptive event analysis – Wild Cards
- ScenLab v1.7 Client download
- Arctic Marine Transportation by 2030
10. Collaboration in resource extraction by China, Japan and Russia
AMSA Evaluation: Importance: 5, Uncertainty: 6, Sum: 11
Classification Politics: Economics, Politics
Cooperation between Russia and Japan in resource extraction the Sea of Okhotsk
dates back to 1974 [McMillan]. This KF is concerned with the extraction of resources
in the Arctic by Russia, China and Japan.
10.1 Cooperation
Plausibility: 0.25
The exploitation of resources in the Russian Arctic is a tri-national joint venture.
With Japan supplying state-of-the-art technology, China supplying workforce and
Russia the resources.
10.2 Collaboration
Plausibility: 0.55
Chinese and Japanese companies are given exclusive access to regions of the Russian
Arctic for resource extraction. This is due to the fact that Russia does not
have sufficient technological resources for an efficient exploitation of its resources.
Large portions of the profits remain in Russia.
10.3 China and Japan do not enter the Market
Plausibility: 0.2
Due to political discrepancies Japan and China do not enter the market of resource
extraction in the Arctic.