Sea Ice
- About
- Imprint
- Scenarios
- Arctic Marine Transportation by 2030
- Introduction
- Aim of this Study
- Key Factor Classification
- Deļ¬nitions of Key Factors and Future Projections
- 1. Climate
- 2. Legal framework
- 3. Global Trade Dynamics – Global economic growth
- 4. Safety of other Routes
- 5. Socio-economic impact of global climate change
- 6. Oil Price
- 7. Major Arctic Shipping Disasters
- 8. Windows of Operation
- 9. Maritime Insurance Industry
- 10. Collaboration in resource extraction by China, Japan and Russia
- 11. Transit fees
- 12. Conflict between indigenous and commercial use
- 13. Arctic Enforcers
- 14. Energy sources for propulsion
- 15. New resource discovery
- 16. World Trade Patterns
- 17. Regulation in the Arctic
- Consistency matrix
- Scenarios
- Suggest Wild Cards
- Suggest Key Factors
- References
- Glossary
- Yakutat Community Energy Scenarios
- Introduction to Scenario-Management
- The Consistency and Robustness Analysis
- 1. Key Factors and their Future Projections
- 2. Assigning plausibility values to future projections
- 3. Projection Bundles
- 4. Assigning consistency values
- 5. Obtaining overall consistency values for the projection bundles
- 6. The combinatorial problem of the consistency analysis
- 7. The Robustness of a projection bundle
- Disruptive event analysis – Wild Cards
- ScenLab v1.7 Client download
- Arctic Marine Transportation by 2030
Archive for category Uncategorized
Valuable Resources
Posted by Marc in Uncategorized on May 19, 2010
Two valuable resources concerning knowledge about the Arctic region in a changing climate.
The State of the Arctic 2010 conference in Miami, Fl this March was a great success and the scenarios were well received there. The people at ARCUS have posted video footage and a virtual poster session.
The North by 2020 at the University of Alaska Fairbanks is a very dynamic interdisciplinary group of researchers concerned with the Arctic with special focus on Alaska. A synthesis volume of our knowledge is currently being compiled. Stay tuned for the book.
Early Indicator: Beluga Shipping attempting Nothern Sea Route
Posted by Marc in Uncategorized on August 11, 2009
Beluga Shipping of Bremen, Germany has two freighters in port at Vladivostok, Russia to be the first commercial vessels to attempt the Norther Sea Route this summer.
I found a comprehensive article in this in the Frankfurter Rundschau (in German). And a news blurb on the NYTimes blog (in English).